Back in the mid 90's I was convinced to create a blog discussing Sci-Fi / Fantasy Movies, talking about how I would review those movies and what I was looking for. I kept that particular blog current, or at least somewhat current, for over a decade. I found out in March 2014, that my blog provider was shutting down for various reasons, leading me to work to start a new blog. I probably will be moving relevant material over sporadically, especially when I quote it. So don't be shocked to see material from as much as 15 years before the launch of this edition of a geeks view. It, unfortunately, is a lot of work and not just a simple cut past to move the stuff over.
Wolfsbane will be played by Maise Williams, most known for playing Arya Stark on HBO's Game of Thrones TV Series.
Anya Taylor-Joy is rumored for the part of Magik, she is best known for playing Cassandra in the TV Series Atlantis and the lead roll of Thomasin in The Witch.
Rumors suggest that either Alexandra Shipp or Halle Berry could play Storm.
Sunspot was previously portrayed by Adan Canto in X-Men: Days of Future Past.
Josh Boone Announced that he has turned in a second draft of the script to 20th Century Fox and is now waiting to hear back on what changes they would like to see. Josh Boone is a busy man in Hollywood as he is currently working on two additional projects, The Stand and Lisey's Story.
The X-Men have a messed up timeline to begin with and there has been no statement that I am aware of where this film fits into anything in the X-Men timeline. Nor has there been anything official released about a potential release date.
Zero - No one wants to contend with the big kid on the block
Timing on the Calendar
No effect based on comparable films using same weekend
Audience Fatigue
-5%, as much as it pains me to say this with several bad films recently the audience is in that worried stage. While this effect will have little impact on opening weekend I am guessing overall we could see the film peter out faster.
Early Hype
No Effect
Late Hype
Movie is sitting at 98% on Rottentomatoes.com with 50 reviews.
Currently professional Box Office Tracking numbers have this film gaining momentum as release approaches. A few weeks ago the tracking numbers were mid $150 M USD and it grew to $182 M USD and as of this morning $200 M USD and the author of the report suggests it might be $250.
My approach suggests two tracks, on the "low" end the track comes in in the mid $180 M USD, there is some rounding discussions but we will just say $185 M USD for the purposes of this discussion. The high end of the track comes in at $220 M USD.
I have not heard a chorus of reviewers suggesting that film must be seen in Imax 3D or even 3D, which is a little unusual. It could be that people are just assuming that is standard now OR the film is more thought provoking and the effects are in essence secondary. Either way I don't think as many people are going to see this film in 3D as some other films recently. I think that is the Achilles heel for this projection.
Opening Weekend $197 M USD
Domestic Total $518 M USD
International $877 M USD
Total $1.395 B USD
Images have popped up online of Nathan Fillion (Firefly, Castle) appearing on "Movie Posters" from the set of Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 in Atlanta Georgia.
Simon Williams in the Marvel Universe is the secret identity of Wonder Man, an alien living on earth as an actor who grudgingly is called back into service by the Avengers.
Close up of the Images show none other than Nathan Fillion.
I have had a special request to review the trailer to the forthcoming Warcraft Movie from Legendary Pictures. I played World of Warcraft fairly seriously from pre-release in November 2004 through August 2005 when I started backing off the game. I kept my account active for years but rarely played post August 2006. I have a working familiarity with the game but cannot remember all the details. I have a brother who has the ability to recite the details of every non-consequential NPC in the game.
The first trailer for Warcraft went live just over 5 months ago, so there has been some wait for a second trailer. I find that in itself interesting. Typically for trailers you want to have between 12 and 18 weeks between the release of trailers. Legendary (Universal) has gone 23 weeks, by waiting so long the interest in the film has waned dramatically, one polling organization suggests it dropped from a high of 15th to 77th. That's a drastic drop. If you move back in time to week 18 the movie is roughly 50th. So there is no momentum for this movie at the current time.
In watching the trailer as a whole two key things came to mind. First is who is the audience for this trailer and second it is not a well made trailer.
In a typical cycle of trailers the first trailer provides an introduction to the primary characters and story for the general public. The second trailer builds from the first trailer but usually is a bit more focused on the fan base who knows more about the film. A third trailer is supposed to get everyone excited to go spend money.
The first Warcraft trailer was an above average trailer in the fact it introduced the wide audience to the background of the movie and the primary characters. The second trailer is supposed to build off that, it failed miserably. Remember that 23 week gap, well that is part of the problem. The other problem is that after going back and rewatching the first trailer and the second trailer back to back as someone who doesn't read any WoW sites even monthly any more you are left wondering if these two trailers are for the same movie.
I am left to assume that this trailer was directly aimed at those players with an above passing understanding of the storylines in the game, which isn't me. I just started zoning out.
The second problem from the trailer is it simply is not a well put together trailer. It is hard to actually say this and that and maybe this are the reasons it doesn't work, but rather I'll just go with the fact the trailer lacks flow and continuity coupled with the electronica music in the background make the trailer to disjointed to follow.
As a potential paying customer to whom the film is being marketed to, I have no clue what the film is about, who the film is about, and why I should fork over $16.50 to go see it. And that's the problem, this trailer has not changed the tracking numbers on the film, it is still in the $35 M USD opening Range and $75 M USD total domestic range. For a film with $100 budget that is not a good sign for a film that has 8 million regular players.
As an analyst you start to wonder with such bad tracking numbers if Universal is considering delaying the film and reworking parts of the film.
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