A Geeky Viewpoint

Predictions Opening Weekend

• Domestic - $139
• International - $175
• World Wide -   $314

Total Box Office

• Domestic - $331
• International - $350
• World Wide - $681

Here is the deal.   Domestically the math in my formula suggests two tracks $130 M and $317 M OR $149 M and $382, when you look at comparable films, competition, timing, audience fatigue, early hype, and late hype.  The formulas aren't full proof (or I would be working for Hollywood) but generally they have been fairly close more times than they have been wrong.  

Let's be honest none of those are big numbers, but they are on the same tracking that many Hollywood insiders have suggested over the past month.   And its not good news for WB and DCU.  Matter of fact it is the opposite of good news.

The very early hype for this movie was extremely negative even some of the movies biggest defenders were not wiling to put too much effort into defending the movie until about six months ago.   Over the last six months people have been climbing on board and suggesting it could be a great movie.    That all went out the window when the first professional reviews hit the news stand.

Currently on Rottentomatoes.com the BvS is sitting at 42% overall and 35% with its top critics, metacritic has it at 47 and other scoring has it in a similar place.   This is all below the rankings of every film in the MCU and only X-Men: Origins Wolverine scored lower in the X-Men Universe.   It is on par with the First Fantastic Four iteration.     In terms of the DCU it is lower than Man of Steel, Nolan's Trilogy and it is slightly higher than Batman and Robin, Catwomen and Green Lantern.
All movies that it has score similar to had biggest day on Friday and slight down Saturday and than down further on Sunday.    In addition all those movies made between 36% and 47% of their total domestic box office on the opening weekend.

If you can ignore the critics ratings, the formula has a different track.   Without the negative reviews I think BvS would earn $179 M domestical and $375 M world wide opening weekend.